University of Washington predicts: more than 50,000 Americans will die in the second wave of epidemics in September
According to the model formula, the University of Washington calculated that the new coronavirus infection in the United States is expected to remain stable during the summer this year, but by September there may be a second wave of outbreaks, and the number of confirmed cases and deaths will increase rapidly; The Center (CDC) announced the anti-epidemic guidelines that people should pay attention to in their daily lives on the 12th. It is hoped that after the unblocking in various parts of the United States, people can strike a balance between restoring normal life and reducing the spread of viruses.
The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates that by October 1 this year, the total number of deaths due to new coronavirus infections in the United States will total 170,000, but if various factors are taken into consideration The death toll may range from 133,201 to 292,222.
From a numerical point of view, it means that more than 57,000 people will die from the epidemic in the United States in the next few months; as of now, the death toll of the New Coronavirus in the United States is about 114,000.
Christopher Murray, director of the Huada Health Measurement Evaluation Research Center, said in a briefing on the 11th that the estimation presented is only a possible result. The actual situation at that time depends on the personal behavior of all people, such as whether to wear a mask, Whether to reduce the frequency of contact with others, etc.
The Center for Disease Control and Prevention announced on the 12th that people should pay attention to anti-epidemic guidelines in daily life, including using stairs as much as possible while staying in a hotel, and taking fewer elevators. When family gatherings, ask friends and relatives to prepare meals and drinks. Immediately clean your hands with a “dry-cleaning hand” alcohol disinfectant gel; in addition, before you think of eating in a restaurant or going to a nail salon, it is best to ask the staff whether they are wearing masks. ), even elbow bumps should be avoided. University of Washington predicts
For the organizers of large-scale events such as concerts, sports events, demonstrations and election campaigns, as well as the people who intend to participate in the event, the CDC guide recommends that the planning of the venue arrangement and the number of participants should comply with the regulations of the local health authority, because the new crown The spread of the virus is different in each community. University of Washington predicts
However, Jay Butler, deputy director of the CDC, emphasized: “This set of guidelines is by no means meant to endorse a particular activity.” University of Washington predicts
Julia Marcus, an infectious disease researcher at Harvard Medical School, said that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has taken the right step and suggested that the guide should be of great value to Americans who want to reduce the risk of infection. With reference value. University of Washington predicts
However, if you want to go to church what protective measures should be taken, it is not mentioned in the guide. The anti-epidemic measures in dating and sex life can allow children to visit grandparents, grandparents, and grandparents. It is not stated in the guide. University of Washington predicts
William Schaffner, an infectious disease expert at Vanderbilt University, said that it is difficult to give a definitive answer to various situations. “I can sympathize with the difficulties of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention.” University of Washington predicts
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